NAND flash memory

Kioxia

Kioxia is a top-3/4 NAND flash maker (~16% share) running some of the world's largest NAND fabs in Yokkaichi and Kitakami. After its December 2024 IPO, surging demand for fast AI-datacenter SSDs lifted results and the stock (it partners with NVIDIA on AI SSDs), and it co-develops nanoimprint (NIL) lithography with Canon over a 10-year program — an alternative-litho experiment to scale NAND without EUV. It depends on a global supply chain of Tokyo Electron, Lam Research, ASML and Tokyo Ohka for equipment and materials.

285A.T Updated Jul 12, 2026 5 AI consumers· 4 recurring

Per the valuechain.wiki graph, Kioxia is directly linked to 10 companies (7 supply, 3 revenue relationships) and reaches 56 companies within two hops; the links are backed by 13 dated sources, 3 of them primary filings (as of 2026-07-12).

Annual return · 2026-07-10'25+1082.1%YTD+260.5%

Financials & Segments

  • Total revenue · ¥1,706.5bn (FYE Mar 2025)
  • Customer concentration · NAND flash memory.
  • Segments · NAND flash memory

Revenue from

  • NVIDIA Medium confidence· Market share >16% · 2024 · global NAND share
    Supplies NAND/SSD for AI and datacenters to NVIDIA.
    Confirms EN Kioxia Published May 21, 2026: Kioxia Holdings FY2026 (year ended March 2026) Consolidated Results
    Confirms KO News1 Published Nov 1, 2025: Kioxia ranks No.3 in NAND
    Confirms EN Blocks & Files Published Sep 15, 2025: Kioxia developing 100 million IOPS SSD for Nvidia
    Confirms EN Kioxia Integrated Report Published Jun 30, 2025: Kioxia Integrated Report — kioxia results
    Confirms JA EDINET / company IR Published Jun 20, 2025: Annual Securities Report (EDINET)
    Confirms EN Kioxia Published May 1, 2025: Kioxia IR
  • SSD · electronics OEM (undisclosed) Medium confidence
    Supplies NAND and SSDs for AI and data centers to SSD and electronics OEMs.
    Confirms EN Kioxia Published May 21, 2026: Kioxia Holdings FY2026 (year ended March 2026) Consolidated Results
    Confirms EN TrendForce Published Dec 3, 2025: AI Infrastructure Continues to Strengthen NAND Flash Demand; Kioxia Posts Highest QoQ Growth of 33.1% in 3Q25
    Confirms EN Kioxia Published May 1, 2025: Kioxia IR
  • Phison Electronics Medium confidence
    Supplies NAND to Phison SSD solutions.
    Confirms EN Kioxia Published May 21, 2026: Kioxia Holdings FY2026 (year ended March 2026) Consolidated Results
    Confirms EN DigiTimes Published Mar 8, 2026: Phison rides AI to record profits, sees explosive 2026 growth
  • Everpure (formerly Pure Storage) Medium confidence
    Supplies NAND to Pure DirectFlash modules.
    Confirms EN FinancialContent Published Jan 2, 2026: Pure Storage: the all-flash AI-factory architecture

Pays to

  • Tokyo Electron (TEL) High confidence
    Purchases NAND production equipment and wafers from Tokyo Electron.
    Confirms KO News1 Published Nov 1, 2025: Kioxia ranks No.3 in NAND
    Confirms EN Kioxia Published May 1, 2025: Kioxia IR
  • Lam Research High confidence
    Purchases NAND production equipment and wafers from Lam Research.
    Confirms KO News1 Published Nov 1, 2025: Kioxia ranks No.3 in NAND
    Confirms EN Kioxia Published May 1, 2025: Kioxia IR
  • Shin-Etsu Chemical Medium confidence
    Purchases NAND production equipment and wafers from Shin-Etsu Chemical.
    Confirms KO News1 Published Nov 1, 2025: Kioxia ranks No.3 in NAND
    Confirms EN Kioxia Published May 1, 2025: Kioxia IR
  • ASML Medium confidence
    Buys NAND fab equipment and wafers from ASML.
    Confirms KO News1 Published Nov 1, 2025: Kioxia ranks No.3 in NAND
    Confirms EN Kioxia Published May 1, 2025: Kioxia IR
  • Advantest Medium confidence
    Buys NAND fab equipment and wafers from Advantest.
    Confirms KO News1 Published Nov 1, 2025: Kioxia ranks No.3 in NAND
    Confirms EN Kioxia Published May 1, 2025: Kioxia IR
  • 도쿄오카 Medium confidence
    Photoresist supplier (world No.1 at 24.7%, No.2 in EUV at 28%); Kioxia named among TOK's key customers in IR.
    Mentions JA Eventos (IR lecture note) Published Dec 6, 2025: TOK IR briefing: key customers and business structure
  • Canon (NIL imprint tool) Medium confidence
    Decade-long NIL co-development with Canon — adopting Canon's imprint tool to qualify NAND production.
    Confirms EN IEEE Spectrum Published Mar 1, 2024: Canon Delivers Nanoimprint Lithography to Compete With EUV
    Confirms EN Canon Published Oct 13, 2023: Nanoimprint Lithography (Canon Technology)
  • components, materials & R&D (undisclosed) Low confidence
    Parts, materials and R&D (undisclosed).
    Confirms EN Kioxia Published May 1, 2025: Kioxia IR

Investors

  • Bain Capital consortium + Toshiba High confidence
    Bain-led consortium holds 51.3%; Toshiba 32.3%.
    Confirms EN TrendForce Published Dec 10, 2024: Kioxia Finalizes IPO Price, SK Hynix Poised to Become Third-Largest Shareholder

Value-chain ripple (2 tiers)

Following node-to-node links up to 2 tiers; each firm is shown once, at its nearest tier.

CompanyChain'21'22'23'24'25YTD
Dell Technologieslead2+51.2-26.6+95.9+53+11.2+248.1
Seagate Technologylead2+87.5-51.4+69.1+4.1+225.3+231.4
Lenovolead2-4.6-20.9+36.2+18.2-0.6+175.7
Hewlett Packard Enterpriselead2+37.4+4.5+9.7+29.1+15.5+104
TeraWulflead2+77.1-95.5+258.2+135.8+103+91.2
Aurora Innovationlead2·-89.3+261.2+44.2-39+66.1
Mercury Systemslead2-37.5-18.7-18.3+14.8+73.8+47.9
ASUSTeK Computerlead2+35.5-12.9+72+41.1-14.1+46.7
Wiwynnlead2+24.7-22.3+206.4+3.5+64.4+45.1
Gigabyte Technologylead2+82.3-3.4+173.2-15.9-4.7+44.4
Cloudflarelead2+73-65.6+84.2+29.3+83.1+36.1
Quanta Computerlead2+22.2-12.8+254.5+12.7+8.9+33.4
SK Telecomlead2+7.9-12+15.8+15.5+37.5+23.4
Celesticalead2+37.9+1.3+159.8+215.2+220.3+21.7
Geely Autolead2-40.8-22.9-40.3+98.5+14.5+18.9
Wistronlead2+7.9+9.7+272.7-1.6+22.7+14.8
Alphabet (Google)lead2+65.3-39.1+58.3+36+66+14.3
Foxconn (Hon Hai)lead2-5.1+2.8+7.8+80.1+26.9+10.9
IRENlead2·-92.3+472+37.3+284.6+8.9
Amazonlead2+2.4-49.6+80.9+44.4+5.2+6.3
Meta Platformslead2+23.1-64.2+194.1+66+13.1+1.6
Tempus AIlead2····+74.9-1.4
IBMlead2+16.7+10.6+21.8+39.3+38.2-1.6
Super Microlead2+38.8+86.8+246.2+7.2-4-3.3
General Motorslead2+40.8-42.4+7.9+49.8+54.2-3.8
IonQlead2·-79.3+259.1+237.1+7.4-4.5
Hyundai Motor Companylead2-16.7-4.7+16.2+12.3+158.8-7.8
Teslalead2+49.8-65+101.7+62.5+11.4-9.3
Toyota Motor Corporationlead2+58.1-13.4+63+1.8+21.8-18.2
Microsoftlead2+52.5-28+58.2+12.9+15.6-20
Alibaba Grouplead2-49-25.8-10.8+11.8+75.8-22.7
Tencent Holdings Limitedlead2-28.6-14.2-28.7+49.8+52.1-23.2
Baidulead2·-8.2-23.4-13.5+74.2-24.5
Rigetti Computinglead2·-92.9+35.1+1449.2+45.2-25.3
Oraclelead2+36.9-4.6+30.9+60+18.1-27.4
Kratos Defenselead2-29.3-46.8+96.6+30+187.8-36.5
Pony.ailead2····+1-54.6
Everpure (formerly Pure Storage)lead1+44-17.8+33.3+72.3+9.1+18.4
NVIDIAlead1+125.5-50.3+239+171.2+38.9+13.3
Phison Electronicslead1+26.8-10.7+45.1-6.7+418.3-6
Kioxianode····+1082.1+260.5
Lam Researchbenef1+53.7-40.7+88.6-6.8+139.2+105
Tokyo Electron (TEL)benef1+40.4-14.5+89.8-4.4+61.6+78.2
ASMLbenef1+64.1-30.5+39.9-7.7+55.8+68.6
Shin-Etsu Chemicalbenef1+6.3+3.1+57.8-15.6+7.6+44
Tokyo Ohka Kogyo (TOK)benef1-2.7-3+63.8+4.3+111.5+42.9
Advantestbenef1+17-2.3+155.7+49.5+196+17.1
Canonbenef1+22.5+11.1+46.4+27-3.2-5.6
Ichor Holdingsbenef2+52.7-41.7+25.4-4.2-42.8+444.2
MKS Instrumentsbenef2+16.4-51+22.6+2.2+54.4+131
Advanced Energy Industriesbenef2-5.7-5.4+27.5+6.6+81.6+47.2
Dai Nippon Printingbenef2+56.5+13.9+42.6+8.5+22.5+15.3
Wonik QnCbenef2+26.2+2+11.9-33.7+53.4+9.3
TCK (Tokai Carbon Korea)benef2-10.1-16.9+2.8-28.7+225.7-2.5
Hana Materialsbenef2+106-30.5+26.1-47.4+173.9-15.7

YTD as of 2026-07-10 · source: Yahoo Finance

Kioxia's thesis is 'a first-year public memory stock riding the entire NAND supercycle.' As a top-3/4 NAND maker (~16%), right after its December 2024 IPO surging demand for fast AI/datacenter SSDs produced extreme gains of +1,082% in 2025 and +261% in 2026 — memory results turn on price and utilization cycles, so both upside and downside are steep. The structural upside is AI storage demand and QLC densification, and the Canon NIL co-development is an optional bet to scale without EUV. But it depends on Tokyo Electron, Lam and ASML for equipment/materials and is vulnerable to a NAND-price reversal, so having run ahead of its chain it gives back first if demand fails to follow. What to watch is the NAND-price cycle and AI-SSD adoption pace.

Analysis generated from returns as of 2026-07-10

Analyst ratings

Consensus: Buy 4 · Hold 0 · Sell 1 · Avg. target ¥106,760 · Price ¥77,000 (07-10) · Upside +39%

BrokerRatingTargetPublished
Goldman Sachs · Shuhei NakamuraBuy¥116,000Jun 30, 2026Report
JPMorganBuy¥155,000Jun 22, 2026Report
Bernstein SocGenSell¥40,000Jun 15, 2026Report
Nomura (Instinet)Buy¥115,000Jun 10, 2026Report
CLSABuy¥107,800Jun 3, 2026Report

After upgrading to Buy from Neutral in late May (PT ¥93,000), raised the target to ¥116,000, arguing the AI-driven NAND shortage persists through 2028 and pushes the profit peak later.

Analyses covering this node


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