Defense & enterprise AI software

Palantir Technologies

A defense and enterprise AI-software firm (Gotham, Foundry, AIP). Q3 2025 revenue $1.2B (+63%), US commercial +121%. A 10-year $10B Army deal and a $446M Navy ShipOS contract. In Dec 2025 it launched Chain Reaction (AI infrastructure) with NVIDIA and CenterPoint. The software demand apex of defense AI.

PLTR Updated Jul 12, 2026 3 AI consumers· 1 recurring

Per the valuechain.wiki graph, Palantir Technologies is directly linked to 3 companies (2 supply, 1 revenue relationships) and reaches 37 companies within two hops; the links are backed by 5 dated sources, 2 of them primary filings (as of 2026-07-12).

Annual return · 2026-07-10'21-22.7%'22-64.7%'23+167.4%'24+340.5%'25+135%YTD-28.7%
Money inUS government · defense (Gotham · AIP)Order value ~$10BUS commercial enterprises (Foundry · AIP)Revenue ~$1.2BVoyager Technologies
Palantir TechnologiesQ3 revenue $1.2B
Money outNVIDIAOraclecloud · R&D (undisclosed)

Financials & Segments

  • Total revenue · Q3 revenue $1.2B (+63%)
  • Customer concentration · $10B Army deal; NVIDIA Chain Reaction.
  • Segments · Government (Gotham) · Commercial (Foundry/AIP)

Revenue from

  • US government · defense (Gotham · AIP) High confidence· Order value ~$10B · 2025 · 10-year Army deal
    AI software to US government (Army, Navy); 10-year $10B Army deal.
    Confirms EN TradingView/Zacks Published Jan 1, 2026: Palantir +100% in 2025 on AIP and government deals
    Confirms EN SEC EDGAR Published Nov 3, 2025: Palantir FY2025 Q3 results (8-K)
  • US commercial enterprises (Foundry · AIP) High confidence· Revenue ~$1.2B · 2025 · Q3 revenue (+63%)
    Foundry/AIP to enterprises (US commercial +121%).
    Confirms EN SEC EDGAR Published Nov 3, 2025: Palantir FY2025 Q3 results (8-K)
  • Voyager Technologies Medium confidence
    Palantir is the exclusive supplier of enterprise software and data-management solutions for the Voyager-led Starlab space station and a minority equity partner in the Starlab JV. Contract value undisclosed.
    Confirms EN U.S. SEC EDGAR Published Mar 10, 2026: Voyager Technologies, Inc. Annual Report (Form 10-K) FY2025
    Confirms EN Voyager Technologies (press release) Published Jun 25, 2024: Starlab Space Announces Strategic Partnership with Palantir Technologies, Inc.

Pays to

  • NVIDIA Medium confidence
    Uses NVIDIA GPUs and the Chain Reaction AI-infra platform.
    Confirms EN TradingView/Zacks Published Jan 1, 2026: Palantir +100% in 2025 on AIP and government deals
    Confirms EN SEC EDGAR Published Nov 3, 2025: Palantir FY2025 Q3 results (8-K)
  • Oracle Medium confidence
    Runs AI workloads on OCI and other clouds.
    Confirms EN InsiderFinance Published Jan 1, 2026: Palantir surges on contract wins and AI gains
  • cloud · R&D (undisclosed) Low confidence
    Cloud infrastructure and engineering.
    Confirms EN SEC EDGAR Published Nov 3, 2025: Palantir FY2025 Q3 results (8-K)

Value-chain ripple (2 tiers)

Following node-to-node links up to 2 tiers; each firm is shown once, at its nearest tier.

CompanyChain'21'22'23'24'25YTD
Voyager Technologieslead1·····+19.2
Palantir Technologiesnode-22.7-64.7+167.4+340.5+135-28.7
NVIDIAbenef1+125.5-50.3+239+171.2+38.9+13.3
Kioxiabenef2····+1082.1+260.5
Micron Technologybenef2+24.2-45.9+71.9-1+240.2+243.3
Murata Manufacturingbenef2-14-11.7+24.7-16.5+29.9+217.4
Nan Ya PCBbenef2+110.6-46.7-0.5-38.3+188.2+213.4
ASE Technologybenef2+38.3-12.8+60.9+10.1+65.6+167.6
Nebius Groupbenef2····+202.2+162.4
Astera Labsbenef2····+25.6+148.2
Ibidenbenef2+30.4-19.6+51.6-38.6+261+147.1
SK hynixbenef2-0.4-25.6+53.9+48.6+361.1+140.3
Unimicronbenef2+133.5-30.2+35.2-19.7+175.7+131.6
Corningbenef2+5.9-11.6-1.2+60.6+87.8+118.8
Lumentumbenef2+11.6-50.7+0.5+60.1+339.1+117.6
Samsung Electronicsbenef2-9-14.2+20.9-26.4+212.9+77.9
onsemibenef2+107.5-8.2+33.9-24.5-14.1+77.2
Coherentbenef2-10-48.6+24+117.6+94.8+75.8
Eoptolinkbenef2-10.1-27.7+136.6+197+368.8+74.9
InnoLightbenef2-30.7-18.3+253.7+12+468.1+68.8
Keysight Technologiesbenef2+56.3-17.2-7+1+26.5+58.5
Delta Electronicsbenef2-3.4+10.4-0.3+59.2+183.8+54.9
Monolithic Powerbenef2+35.5-27.8+79.8-5.6+54.5+49.8
Analog Devicesbenef2+21-4.9+23.4+8.8+29.8+46.7
TSMCbenef2+12.1-36.7+42.3+92.6+55.9+43.6
ABBbenef2+23.9+7.3+18.9+39+36.1+27.2
Pegatronbenef2-5.9+0.6+35.3+21.2-23.8+24
Luxshare Precisionbenef2-11.9-30.2-21.2+58.8+29.3+20.6
Digital Realtybenef2+30.7-41+39.9+35.9-10.1+18.2
Amphenolbenef2+34.9-12+31.5+41.3+96.1+18.1
Wistronbenef2+7.9+9.7+272.7-1.6+22.7+14.8
King Yuan Electronics (KYEC)benef2+26.7-7.7+132.4+38.6+171+4.2
BlackRockbenef2+29.4-20.4+17.9+29.3+6.6-2.1
TE Connectivitybenef2+35.1-27.7+24.6+3.5+61.1-11.3
Recursion Pharmaceuticalsbenef2·-55+27.9-31.4-39.5-13
BYD Electronicsbenef2-56.1+16-0.4+60.6-19.4-34.4

YTD as of 2026-07-10 · source: Yahoo Finance

Palantir's thesis is 'the bellwether of defense and enterprise AI software, on a valuation far ahead of results.' Gotham, Foundry and AIP grow US government (a 10-year $10B Army deal, Navy ShipOS) and commercial (US commercial +121%) together, producing high growth of $1.2B Q3 revenue (+63%) — an 'operating system' position bridging AI to real deployment is the moat. But after +341% in 2024 and +135% in 2025, the -27% give-back in 2026 signals that growth expectations are overpriced; with an extreme revenue multiple, a single deceleration shakes it hard. It depends on compute from NVIDIA and Oracle (Chain Reaction). What to watch is the durability of commercial acceleration and the conversion of government contracts into revenue.

Analysis generated from returns as of 2026-07-09

Analyst ratings

Consensus: Buy 2 · Hold 2 · Sell 1 · Avg. target $182 · Price $126.6 (07-11) · Upside +44%

BrokerRatingTargetPublished
BNP Paribas ExaneUnderperformJun 16, 2026Report
UBS Group · Karl KeirsteadBuyJun 16, 2026Report
BenchmarkHoldJun 16, 2026Report
Rosenblatt Securities · John McPeakeBuy$225Jun 5, 2026Report
Cantor FitzgeraldNeutral$138May 22, 2026Report

Initiated coverage at Underperform, arguing valuation runs well ahead of fundamentals.

Analyses covering this node


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