NASDAQ · Neocloud · AI GPU infrastructure

Nebius Group

An AI-native cloud (neocloud) based in Amsterdam. It rents large GPU clusters to enterprises and developers. Q3 2025 core AI infrastructure grew 400% YoY, with ~$4.3B annualized run-rate expected by end-2026. A $17.4-19.4B deal with Microsoft, and NVIDIA invested. With CoreWeave, a neocloud axis.

NBIS Updated Jul 12, 2026 5 AI consumers· 2 recurring

Per the valuechain.wiki graph, Nebius Group is directly linked to 3 companies (2 supply, 1 revenue, 1 investment relationships) and reaches 42 companies within two hops; the links are backed by 6 dated sources, 1 of them primary filings (as of 2026-07-12).

Annual return · 2026-07-10'25+202.2%YTD+162.4%
Money inMicrosoftcontract $17.4BEnterprises · AI developers (GPU cloud)
Nebius Group~$4.3B run rate by end-2026
Money outNVIDIAGigabyte (GB200/GB300 server procurement)datacenter · power · capacity expansion (undisclosed)

Financials & Segments

  • Total revenue · ~$4.3B run rate by end-2026
  • Customer concentration · Microsoft $17-19B deal; NVIDIA-invested.
  • Segments · GPU cloud · AI dev platform

Revenue from

  • Microsoft High confidence· contract $17.4B · 5년(~2031) · up to $19.4B with options; new Vineland NJ DC
    Leases AI infrastructure to Microsoft ($17.4-19.4B deal).
    Confirms EN ZoomInfo Published Jan 1, 2026: Nebius (neocloud, Microsoft, NVIDIA)
    Confirms EN SEC EDGAR Published Nov 1, 2025: Nebius FY2025 results (6-K)
    Confirms EN Data Center Dynamics Published Sep 9, 2025: Microsoft to use Nebius GPU data centers in $17.4bn five-year deal
    Confirms EN CNBC Published Sep 8, 2025: Nebius stock soars on AI infrastructure deal with Microsoft
  • Enterprises · AI developers (GPU cloud) High confidence
    GPU cloud and AI platform for enterprises and developers.
    Confirms EN ZoomInfo Published Jan 1, 2026: Nebius (neocloud, Microsoft, NVIDIA)

Pays to

  • NVIDIA High confidence
    Builds large GPU clusters with NVIDIA GPUs.
    Confirms EN Nebius Published Jan 1, 2026: Nebius company/IR (Nasdaq NBIS)
    Confirms EN SEC EDGAR Published Nov 1, 2025: Nebius FY2025 results (6-K)
  • Gigabyte (GB200/GB300 server procurement) Medium confidence
    Nebius procures GB200/GB300 NVL72 AI servers from Gigabyte — a core hardware cost of building out its European GPU-cloud capacity. (A symmetric revenue edge exists on the Gigabyte node.)
    Confirms EN DigiTimes Published Feb 24, 2025: Asus and Gigabyte secure major AI server orders from NVIDIA
  • datacenter · power · capacity expansion (undisclosed) Low confidence
    Datacenter construction, power and capacity.
    Confirms EN SEC EDGAR Published Nov 1, 2025: Nebius FY2025 results (6-K)

Investors

  • NVIDIA High confidence
    NVIDIA strategically invested in the Dec 2024 $700M round.
    Confirms EN SEC EDGAR Published Nov 1, 2025: Nebius FY2025 results (6-K)

Value-chain ripple (2 tiers)

Following node-to-node links up to 2 tiers; each firm is shown once, at its nearest tier.

CompanyChain'21'22'23'24'25YTD
Starbucks Corplead2+11.1-13.2-1.2-2.5-5.3+27.4
Johnson Controlslead2+77.4-19.3-7.6+39.8+53+20
Snowflakelead2+20.4-57.6+38.6-22.4+42.1+19.2
Costco Wholesalelead2+51.8-19+49+39.6-5.4+6.6
Walmart Inclead2+2-0.5+12.9+74+24.5+2.6
ServiceNowlead2+17.9-40.2+82+50.1-27.7-29.7
Microsoftlead1+52.5-28+58.2+12.9+15.6-20
Nebius Groupnode····+202.2+162.4
Gigabyte Technologybenef1+82.3-3.4+173.2-15.9-4.7+44.4
NVIDIAbenef1+125.5-50.3+239+171.2+38.9+13.3
Kioxiabenef2····+1082.1+260.5
Micron Technologybenef2+24.2-45.9+71.9-1+240.2+243.3
Murata Manufacturingbenef2-14-11.7+24.7-16.5+29.9+217.4
Nan Ya PCBbenef2+110.6-46.7-0.5-38.3+188.2+213.4
ASE Technologybenef2+38.3-12.8+60.9+10.1+65.6+167.6
Astera Labsbenef2····+25.6+148.2
Ibidenbenef2+30.4-19.6+51.6-38.6+261+147.1
SK hynixbenef2-0.4-25.6+53.9+48.6+361.1+140.3
Unimicronbenef2+133.5-30.2+35.2-19.7+175.7+131.6
Corningbenef2+5.9-11.6-1.2+60.6+87.8+118.8
Lumentumbenef2+11.6-50.7+0.5+60.1+339.1+117.6
Samsung Electronicsbenef2-9-14.2+20.9-26.4+212.9+77.9
onsemibenef2+107.5-8.2+33.9-24.5-14.1+77.2
Coherentbenef2-10-48.6+24+117.6+94.8+75.8
Eoptolinkbenef2-10.1-27.7+136.6+197+368.8+74.9
InnoLightbenef2-30.7-18.3+253.7+12+468.1+68.8
Keysight Technologiesbenef2+56.3-17.2-7+1+26.5+58.5
Delta Electronicsbenef2-3.4+10.4-0.3+59.2+183.8+54.9
Monolithic Powerbenef2+35.5-27.8+79.8-5.6+54.5+49.8
Analog Devicesbenef2+21-4.9+23.4+8.8+29.8+46.7
TSMCbenef2+12.1-36.7+42.3+92.6+55.9+43.6
ABBbenef2+23.9+7.3+18.9+39+36.1+27.2
Pegatronbenef2-5.9+0.6+35.3+21.2-23.8+24
Luxshare Precisionbenef2-11.9-30.2-21.2+58.8+29.3+20.6
Digital Realtybenef2+30.7-41+39.9+35.9-10.1+18.2
Amphenolbenef2+34.9-12+31.5+41.3+96.1+18.1
Wistronbenef2+7.9+9.7+272.7-1.6+22.7+14.8
King Yuan Electronics (KYEC)benef2+26.7-7.7+132.4+38.6+171+4.2
BlackRockbenef2+29.4-20.4+17.9+29.3+6.6-2.1
TE Connectivitybenef2+35.1-27.7+24.6+3.5+61.1-11.3
Recursion Pharmaceuticalsbenef2·-55+27.9-31.4-39.5-13
BYD Electronicsbenef2-56.1+16-0.4+60.6-19.4-34.4

YTD as of 2026-07-10 · source: Yahoo Finance

An Amsterdam-based AI-native cloud (neocloud) renting large GPU clusters to enterprises and developers, forming — with CoreWeave — the AI-infrastructure rental axis outside the hyperscalers. Its explosive growth (core AI infrastructure +400% YoY in Q3 2025, ~$4.3B annualized run-rate expected by end-2026) is driven by a $17.4-19.4B (five-year) contract with Microsoft, with NVIDIA backing supply via a strategic $700M-round investment. Risks are concentration in a few large deals (Microsoft) and a capital-intensive structure requiring vast upfront capex for GPUs, data centers and power. Upstream on the graph are NVIDIA (GPUs), Gigabyte (GB200/GB300 servers) and datacenter power; downstream are Microsoft, enterprises and AI developers.

Analysis generated from returns as of 2026-07-10

Analyst ratings

Consensus: Buy 2 · Hold 1 · Sell 0 · Avg. target $239 · Price $219.929 (07-11) · Upside +9%

BrokerRatingTargetPublished
Goldman Sachs · Alexander DuvalBuy$286Jun 30, 2026Report
Morgan Stanley · Josh BaerEqual-weight$144Jun 10, 2026Report
Citi · Tyler RadkeBuy$287Jun 10, 2026Report

Analyses covering this node


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