NYSE · Earth-observation satellites · high-revisit EO & AI analytics

BlackSky Technology

BlackSky sells intelligence combining high-revisit Earth-observation satellites with its Spectra AI analytics platform, and is deploying its 35cm-class Gen-3 constellation. FY2025 revenue hit a record $106.6 million with a $70.3 million net loss, while backlog grew 32% to $345 million. The NRO's EOCL contract (up to $1.021 billion over 10 years) and NGA's Luno A/B awards (up to $490 million combined) anchor the government business; wholly owned LeoStella builds the satellites and Rocket Lab launches them (17 cumulative Electron missions).

BKSY Updated Jul 12, 2026 4 AI consumers· 1 recurring

Per the valuechain.wiki graph, BlackSky Technology is directly linked to 2 companies (2 supply, 0 revenue relationships) and reaches 4 companies within two hops; the links are backed by 11 dated sources, 1 of them primary filings (as of 2026-07-12).

Annual return · 2026-07-10'21-57.1%'22-65.7%'23-9.1%'24-3.7%'25+73.8%YTD+33.4%
Money inUS NRO (NRO · EOCL)Contract value $1BUS NGA (Luno A/B)Contract value $290M
BlackSky TechnologyFY2025 revenue $106.6M
Money outRocket Labcumulative dedicated launches 17 launchesLeoStella (satellite manufacturing subsidiary)SpaceX (Falcon 9 rideshare launch)

Financials & Segments

  • Total revenue · FY2025 revenue $106.6M (record)
  • Customer concentration · Government-led (US and international); backlog $345M (+32%)
  • Segments · Space-based Intelligence & AI Services · Mission Solutions · Advanced Technology Programs

Revenue from

  • US NRO (NRO · EOCL) High confidence· Contract value $1B · 2022~2032 (10년 최대) · Maximum 10-year EOCL contract value (5-yr base + options)
    NRO Electro-Optical Commercial Layer (EOCL) contract awarded May 2022 (5-yr base + five 1-yr options, 10-yr total), worth up to $1.021B; extended one year in Jan 2025 through mid-2026. BlackSky's largest government anchor contract.
    Mentions EN MarketBeat Published Jun 1, 2026: BlackSky (BKSY) analyst consensus and price target
    Confirms EN BlackSky (IR) Published Jan 14, 2025: BlackSky wins Electro-Optical Commercial Layer extension contract with the NRO for Gen-2 services
    Confirms EN BlackSky (IR) Published May 25, 2022: BlackSky awarded 10-year Electro Optical Commercial Layer (EOCL) contract with U.S. Government
  • US NGA (Luno A/B) High confidence· Contract value $290M · 2024-2029 · Luno A 5-year IDIQ ceiling (Luno B separately up to $200M)
    NGA Luno commercial analytics/data IDIQ awards: Luno A up to $290M over 5 years (Oct 2024, AI change-detection analytics) and Luno B up to $200M over 5 years (Jan 2025, GEOINT data). Combined ceiling up to $490M.
    Mentions EN U.S. SEC (EDGAR) Published Feb 26, 2026: BlackSky Q4/FY2025 Results (Form 8-K Exhibit 99.1)
    Confirms EN StockTitan Published Jan 16, 2025: BlackSky Selected for $200M Luno B IDIQ
    Confirms EN BlackSky (IR) Published Oct 3, 2024: BlackSky wins five-year NGA Luno A contract valued up to $290 million

Pays to

  • Rocket Lab High confidence· cumulative dedicated launches 17 launches · 2019-2026 · Cumulative dedicated Electron launches for BlackSky since 2019 (incl. 4 new in Feb 2026); contract values are confirmed_no_disclosed_value
    Primary launch supplier for Gen-3 deployment. Signed a 5-launch Gen-3 contract in Aug 2023 and 4 more dedicated Electron missions in Feb 2026, bringing cumulative launches since 2019 to 17 (BlackSky's most prolific launch provider). Contract dollar values undisclosed.
    Confirms EN Satellite Evolution Published Feb 27, 2026: Rocket Lab secures latest multi-launch contract with BlackSky for 4x dedicated Electron Missions
    Confirms KO Sankyung Today Published Feb 19, 2025: Rocket Lab successfully launches Electron carrying BlackSky's Gen-3 satellite
  • LeoStella (satellite manufacturing subsidiary) High confidence
    Washington-based manufacturer LeoStella builds BlackSky's satellites (incl. Gen-3). Originally a 50-50 JV between BlackSky and Thales Alenia Space; in Nov 2024 BlackSky bought out Thales's remaining 50% to optimize the Gen-3 supply chain, making it a wholly owned subsidiary. Deal terms undisclosed.
    Confirms EN SpaceNews Published Nov 8, 2024: BlackSky buys Thales Alenia's stake in LeoStella joint venture
    Confirms EN Via Satellite Published Nov 7, 2024: BlackSky Acquires Full Stake in LeoStella Ahead of Gen-3 Constellation
  • SpaceX (Falcon 9 rideshare launch) Medium confidence
    BlackSky put its early Global (Gen-2) satellites into orbit via SpaceX Falcon 9 rideshare (alongside Starlink and on Transporter) — where Rocket Lab's dedicated launches control revisit timing and orbit, SpaceX rideshare is the complementary path that fills the fleet cheaply by sharing the ride. A second axis for lowering launch cost in a small-satellite EO business.
    Confirms EN Via Satellite Published Dec 2, 2021: SpaceX launches Starlink batch with 2 rideshare BlackSky satellites

Investments

  • Gen-3 constellation buildout (LeoStella in-sourcing, multi-year launch prebook) High confidence
    A structure of front-loading growth capital into the 35cm-class Gen-3 constellation — in November 2024 it acquired Thales's remaining 50% of LeoStella to fully in-source satellite manufacturing, and it pre-books multi-year dedicated Rocket Lab launches (17 cumulative) to control deployment pace. The FY2025 net loss of $70.3M is the cost of that forward investment, with leverage as the completing constellation converts the $345M backlog into revenue.
    Confirms EN U.S. SEC (EDGAR) Published Feb 26, 2026: BlackSky Q4/FY2025 Results (Form 8-K Exhibit 99.1)
    Mentions EN SpaceNews Published Nov 8, 2024: BlackSky buys Thales Alenia's stake in LeoStella joint venture
    Confirms EN Via Satellite Published Nov 7, 2024: BlackSky Acquires Full Stake in LeoStella Ahead of Gen-3 Constellation

Value-chain ripple (2 tiers)

Following node-to-node links up to 2 tiers; each firm is shown once, at its nearest tier.

CompanyChain'21'22'23'24'25YTD
BlackSky Technologynode-57.1-65.7-9.1-3.7+73.8+33.4
Rocket Labbenef1+21.5-69.3+46.7+360.6+173.9+16.2
SpaceXbenef1·····+0.7
STMicroelectronicsbenef2+32.4-26.8+41.7-49.7+5.3+176.6
Redwirebenef2·-70.7+43.9+477.5-53.8+33.9

YTD as of 2026-07-10 · source: Yahoo Finance

BlackSky's thesis is that it sells not satellite hardware but an intelligence subscription — high-revisit imagery plus AI analytics. Deploying its 35cm-class Gen-3 constellation, it vertically controls manufacturing (wholly owned LeoStella) and launch (Rocket Lab, 17 cumulative), keeping revisit rate and cost in its own hands. Results are pre-committed by government anchors — the NRO EOCL (up to $1.021B over 10 years) and NGA Luno A/B (up to $490M combined) are the revenue base, and FY2025 revenue of $106.6M (a record) with a $345M backlog (+32%) gives forward visibility. But it is a growth-stage company still posting a $70.3M net loss, so the swing factors are revenue growth as Gen-3 deploys and the timing of breakeven. Re-rating triggers are completing the Gen-3 constellation, expanding government contracts (Luno drawdown), and the path to profitability.

Analysis generated from returns as of 2026-07-09

Analyst ratings

Consensus: Buy 3 · Hold 0 · Sell 0 · Avg. target $48 · Price $25.02 (07-10) · Upside +92%

BrokerRatingTargetPublished
Canaccord Genuity · Austin MoellerBuy$43May 28, 2026Report
Jefferies · Sheila KahyaogluBuy$50May 12, 2026Report
Oppenheimer · Timothy HoranOutperform$50May 8, 2026Report

Analyses covering this node


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