Space infrastructure · solar arrays · UAS

Redwire

A space-infrastructure firm making ROSA/ELSA roll-out solar arrays, optics and payloads. Its June 2025 Edge Autonomy acquisition added UAS drones (Stalker, Penguin), pivoting it to space-plus-defense tech. 2025 revenue $335M (+10%), 2026 guided $450-500M. The space-component axis supplying power and structure to satellites.

RDW Updated Jul 12, 2026 2 AI consumers· 1 recurring

Per the valuechain.wiki graph, Redwire is directly linked to 2 companies (0 supply, 2 revenue relationships) and reaches 4 companies within two hops; the links are backed by 3 dated sources, 1 of them primary filings (as of 2026-07-12).

Annual return · 2026-07-10'22-70.7%'23+43.9%'24+477.5%'25-53.8%YTD+33.9%
Money inNASA · government · satellites (space infrastructure)Rocket LabDefense (Edge Autonomy UAS)AST SpaceMobile
Redwire2025 revenue $335M
Money outcapacity expansion & M&A (undisclosed)components, materials & manufacturing (undisclosed)

Financials & Segments

  • Total revenue · 2025 revenue $335M (+10%)
  • Customer concentration · ROSA/ELSA solar arrays; NASA, satellites.
  • Segments · Space infra (solar arrays/optics) · Defense tech (Edge Autonomy UAS)

Revenue from

  • NASA · government · satellites (space infrastructure) High confidence
    Solar arrays, optics and payloads to NASA, government and satellite operators.
    Confirms EN Redwire Published May 1, 2026: Redwire results/backlog (space infra)
    Confirms EN Yahoo Finance Published Jan 1, 2026: Redwire winning the next phase of the space economy
  • Rocket Lab Medium confidence
    Supplies ROSA/ELSA solar arrays and structures to satellites (Rocket Lab, etc.).
    Confirms EN Redwire Published May 1, 2026: Redwire results/backlog (space infra)
    Confirms EN SpaceNews Published Jun 1, 2025: Redwire unveils new solar array (ELSA)
  • Defense (Edge Autonomy UAS) Medium confidence
    Edge Autonomy UAS (Stalker, Penguin) for defense.
    Confirms EN Yahoo Finance Published Jan 1, 2026: Redwire winning the next phase of the space economy
  • AST SpaceMobile Medium confidence
    Solar arrays/structures to AST satellites.
    Confirms EN Redwire Published May 1, 2026: Redwire results/backlog (space infra)

Pays to

  • capacity expansion & M&A (undisclosed) Low confidence
    Edge Autonomy acquisition and capacity expansion.
    Confirms EN Yahoo Finance Published Jan 1, 2026: Redwire winning the next phase of the space economy
  • components, materials & manufacturing (undisclosed) Low confidence
    Solar cells, composites and electronics.
    Confirms EN Redwire Published May 1, 2026: Redwire results/backlog (space infra)

Value-chain ripple (2 tiers)

Following node-to-node links up to 2 tiers; each firm is shown once, at its nearest tier.

CompanyChain'21'22'23'24'25YTD
MDA Spacelead2·-32.6+80+156.3-9.8+80.8
BlackSky Technologylead2-57.1-65.7-9.1-3.7+73.8+33.4
Rocket Lablead1+21.5-69.3+46.7+360.6+173.9+16.2
AST SpaceMobilelead1-41.5-39.3+25.1+249.9+244.2+1
Redwirenode·-70.7+43.9+477.5-53.8+33.9

YTD as of 2026-07-10 · source: Yahoo Finance

A space-component firm supplying power (ROSA/ELSA roll-out solar arrays), structure and optics to satellites, which pivoted to space-plus-defense tech by adding UAS drones via the 2025 Edge Autonomy acquisition. The thesis is that dual structure — NASA, government and commercial satellite demand underpins component revenue while defense UAS opens a new growth axis (2026 revenue guided $450-500M). Risks are still-small scale, M&A integration and government-budget cycles, and in graph terms satellite operators like Rocket Lab and AST transmit deployment schedules into Redwire solar-array demand.

Analysis generated from returns as of 2026-07-09

Analyst ratings

Consensus: Buy 2 · Hold 1 · Sell 0 · Avg. target $20 · Price $10.18 (07-10) · Upside +96%

BrokerRatingTargetPublished
Jefferies · Sheila KahyaogluHold$24Jun 1, 2026Report
Truist Securities · Michael CiarmoliBuy$15May 13, 2026Report
Roth MKM · Suji DesilvaBuy$20May 7, 2026Report

Buy calls remain on space-defense momentum, but caution is spreading after the rally, with Jefferies downgrading to Hold even while raising its target to $24.

Analyses covering this node


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