Satellite communications · Direct-to-cell (D2C)

AST SpaceMobile

A space-comms firm connecting ordinary smartphones directly to satellites (D2C). With BlueBird satellites it demonstrated two-way calls with AT&T, Verizon, Vodafone and Rakuten, targeting 45-60 satellites by end-2026. 2025 revenue $70.9M (SDA and carrier milestones). Agreements with ~60 operators covering 3B subscribers.

ASTS Updated Sep 11, 2026 3 AI consumers· 2 recurring

Per the valuechain.wiki graph, AST SpaceMobile is directly linked to 2 companies (1 supply, 0 revenue, 1 investment relationships) and reaches 3 companies within two hops; the links are backed by 6 dated sources, 2 of them primary filings (as of 2026-09-11).

Annual return · 2026-09-04'21-41.5%'22-39.3%'23+25.1%'24+249.9%'25+244.2%YTD-14.2%
Money inTelecom carriers · government (D2C · SDA)Revenue ~$71MEurope · Japan telecom (D2C expansion)
AST SpaceMobile2025 revenue $70.9M
Money outRedwireSatellite manufacturing · components (undisclosed)

Financials & Segments

  • Total revenue · 2025 revenue $70.9M
  • Customer concentration · AT&T, Verizon, Vodafone; 45-60 satellites.
  • Segments · D2C satellite comms · Government (SDA)

Revenue from

  • Telecom carriers · government (D2C · SDA) High confidence· Revenue ~$71M · 2025 · 2025 revenue
    Supplies D2C satellite comms to ~60 carriers (AT&T, Verizon, Vodafone) and the SDA (2025 revenue $70.9M); AT&T and Verizon, as strategic investors, provide their cellular spectrum — anchor customers and capital partners.
    Confirms EN FinancialContent Published Apr 3, 2026: AST SpaceMobile D2C satellite analysis
    Confirms EN SEC EDGAR Published Nov 10, 2025: AST SpaceMobile FY2025 results (8-K)
    Confirms EN Via Satellite Published Oct 8, 2025: Verizon Deepens AST SpaceMobile Ties With Commercial Agreement
    Confirms KO Cosmos Times Published Aug 6, 2024: AST to start satellite-to-smartphone direct service, like Starlink
  • Europe · Japan telecom (D2C expansion) Medium confidence
    Expands D2C coverage with UK, Japan and Canada carriers (service targeted early 2026) — the path to a subscriber base beyond the US.
    Confirms EN FinancialContent Published Apr 3, 2026: AST SpaceMobile D2C satellite analysis

Pays to

  • Redwire Medium confidence
    Redwire supplies solar arrays and structures to AST satellites — a key supplier of the power/structure subsystems.
    Confirms EN SEC EDGAR Published Nov 10, 2025: AST SpaceMobile FY2025 results (8-K)
  • Satellite manufacturing · components (undisclosed) Low confidence
    BlueBird satellite manufacturing, phased-array antennas and parts (targeting 45-60 satellites); the large phased array is the crux of in-house manufacturing difficulty.
    Confirms EN SEC EDGAR Published Nov 10, 2025: AST SpaceMobile FY2025 results (8-K)

Investors

  • Verizon High confidence· Amount $35M · investment agreed 2024-05-23 · Principal amount of the AST SpaceMobile subordinated convertible note purchased by Verizon Ventures
    AST SpaceMobile agreed to issue a $35 million subordinated convertible note to Verizon Ventures. The remaining $65 million of the announced $100 million package consists of commercial prepayments creditable against future service revenue and is excluded from the investment metric.
    Mentions KO Meritz Securities Research Center Published Sep 12, 2024: MERITZ Strategy Daily: AST SpaceMobile Rallies After May Partnership Announcements
    Confirms EN SEC EDGAR Published May 29, 2024: AST SpaceMobile, Inc. Current Report on Form 8-K dated May 23, 2024

Value-chain ripple (2 tiers)

Following node-to-node links up to 2 tiers; each firm is shown once, at its nearest tier.

CompanyChain'21'22'23'24'25YTD
AST SpaceMobilenode-41.5-39.3+25.1+249.9+244.2-14.2
Redwirebenef1·-70.7+43.9+477.5-53.8+38.6
Verizonbenef1-7.5-20+2.7+13.1+8.9+29.3
American Towerbenef2+32.9-25.7+5.4-12.2-0.9+2.1

YTD as of 2026-09-04 · source: Yahoo Finance

AST SpaceMobile operates across NASDAQ, Satellite comms, Direct-to-cell (D2C). It is -14.2% in 2026. The supply side (avg +38.6%) leads the stock (-14.2%), with spending rippling down to suppliers first. Agreements with ~60 operators covering 3B subscribers.

Analysis generated from returns as of 2026-09-04

Analyst ratings

Consensus: Buy 1 · Hold 1 · Sell 1 · Avg. target $91 · Price $62.08 (09-05) · Upside +47%

BrokerRatingTargetPublished
Barclays · Mathieu RobilliardUnderweight$60Jun 8, 2026Report
Deutsche Bank · Bryan KraftHold$106May 29, 2026Report
Roth MKM · Scott SearleBuy$108May 12, 2026Report

Analyses covering this node


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