Heavy industry · ¥13T gas-turbine & defense backlog

Mitsubishi Heavy Industries

Japan's largest heavy-industry firm — power equipment, aerospace, defense and plants — where FY2026 saw two structural demand waves break at once: AI-datacenter power scarcity pushed large gas-turbine orders to a record (35 units), while Japan's rising defense budget and the export of 11 Australian Mogami-class frigates (its first postwar warship export) lifted defense revenue +40%. The order backlog swelled to ¥13,237.6B, effectively pre-booking years of revenue, so +14.1% revenue and +35% net profit are only the start of the cycle. In the value chain it builds the Boeing 787 wing from Toray T800 carbon fiber and, via a 33.3% stake in the GCAP JV Edgewing, is positioned in next-generation defense.

7011.T Updated Jul 12, 2026 4 AI consumers· 3 recurring

Per the valuechain.wiki graph, Mitsubishi Heavy Industries is directly linked to 2 companies (1 supply, 1 revenue relationships) and reaches 6 companies within two hops; the links are backed by 8 dated sources, 3 of them primary filings (as of 2026-07-12).

Annual return · 2026-09-04'21+7.2%'22+68.3%'23+100.5%'24+134.2%'25+98.3%YTD-16.7%
Money inNorth American & Asian power utilities / datacenters (gas turbines)Japan Ministry of Defense & government (defense, missiles, H3)Boeing (787 composite wing box)Utilities & government (nuclear, LWR, fuel cycle)
Mitsubishi Heavy Industries¥4,974.1B
Money outToray (T800 carbon-fiber prepreg)Steel, forgings & equipment materials (raw materials)

Financials & Segments

  • Total revenue · ¥4,974.1B (year ended March 2026, +14.1%, record high)
  • Segments · Energy Systems · Aircraft, Defense & Space · Plants & Infrastructure · Logistics, Thermal & Drive

Revenue from

  • North American & Asian power utilities / datacenters (gas turbines) High confidence
    The engine of MHI's growth right now: AI-datacenter power scarcity pushed large frame gas-turbine orders to a record (35 units), and energy orders of ~¥3.6T (+40%) form the core of the ¥13T group backlog. With deliveries stretching into the 2030s, capacity-expansion execution — not short-term conditions — is the variable for realizing revenue. A three-way oligopoly with GE Vernova and Siemens Energy.
    Confirms EN Mitsubishi Heavy Industries Published May 12, 2026: Mitsubishi Heavy Industries FY2025 (ended March 2026) Results Presentation
    Confirms EN Mitsubishi Heavy Industries Published May 12, 2026: Mitsubishi Heavy Industries Outline of FY2025 (year ended March 2026) Financial Results
    Mentions EN Nikkei Asia Published Nov 1, 2025: Mitsubishi Heavy boosts order forecast on data center power demand
  • Japan Ministry of Defense & government (defense, missiles, H3) High confidence
    The prime beneficiary of Japan's security-policy shift: a rising defense budget pushed missile, ship and fighter orders, lifting Aircraft, Defense & Space revenue +40%, while 11 Australian Mogami frigates (Japan's first postwar warship export) signal a structural break beyond the domestic market. Counterparties are the government and JAXA, so individual contracts are undisclosed, but multi-year budget visibility underpins the downside.
    Mentions EN Analyst consensus (16 analysts) Published May 15, 2026: Mitsubishi Heavy Industries (7011) analyst consensus — Buy, average target ¥5,553
    Confirms EN Mitsubishi Heavy Industries Published May 12, 2026: Mitsubishi Heavy Industries Outline of FY2025 (year ended March 2026) Financial Results
    Confirms KO Etoday Published Apr 21, 2026: Japan's first warship export — MHI wins Australia's 11 next-gen frigates (Mogami-class)
    Mentions EN Nikkei Asia Published Nov 1, 2025: Mitsubishi Heavy boosts order forecast on data center power demand
  • Boeing (787 composite wing box) High confidence
    Its window into the commercial-aero cycle: a Tier-1 relationship building Boeing's 787 composite wing box in Nagoya and Shimonoseki, 1,000+ units shipped since 2007. Because it forms the wing from Toray T800 carbon fiber, a recovery in 787 build rates flows through simultaneously to this revenue and to Toray's material demand.
    Confirms EN Mitsubishi Heavy Industries Published Jan 1, 2025: Mitsubishi Heavy Industries — Boeing 787 composite wing box
    Mentions EN CompositesWorld Published Jan 1, 2024: Boeing 787 update — MHI wing box uses Toray T800 prepreg
  • Utilities & government (nuclear, LWR, fuel cycle) Medium confidence
    Nuclear business within Energy Systems. FY2026 orders rose across Japanese light-water-reactor restarts, fuel-cycle facilities and next-gen reactors; Japanese utilities (e.g. Kansai) and the government are the main counterparties (individual contracts undisclosed).
    Confirms EN Mitsubishi Heavy Industries Published May 12, 2026: Mitsubishi Heavy Industries FY2025 (ended March 2026) Results Presentation

Pays to

  • Toray (T800 carbon-fiber prepreg) High confidence
    Single-material dependence that governs the 787 wing's properties: MHI forms the Boeing 787 wing box from Toray T800 toughened prepreg via automated tape laying. As a primary structure it is effectively non-substitutable, so Toray's carbon-fiber capacity and pricing feed directly into MHI's aerospace cost and delivery.
    Mentions EN Mitsubishi Heavy Industries Published Jan 1, 2025: Mitsubishi Heavy Industries — Boeing 787 composite wing box
    Confirms EN CompositesWorld Published Jan 1, 2024: Boeing 787 update — MHI wing box uses Toray T800 prepreg
  • Steel, forgings & equipment materials (raw materials) Medium confidence
    Special steels, large forgings and castings for gas turbines, reactors, ships and plants are core costs; material and subcontracting inflation are margin variables.
    Confirms EN Mitsubishi Heavy Industries Published May 12, 2026: Mitsubishi Heavy Industries Outline of FY2025 (year ended March 2026) Financial Results

Investments

  • Edgewing (GCAP 6th-gen fighter JV, 33.3%) High confidence
    An equity bet on next-generation defense: in June 2025 it launched the GCAP 6th-gen fighter JV Edgewing with UK's BAE and Italy's Leonardo at 33.3% each. As the F-2 successor program (targeting 2035), it is MHI's next-decade defense pipeline, leveraging domestic fighter capability across a three-nation split.
    Confirms EN Leonardo / GCAP Published Jun 20, 2025: GCAP partners launch JV 'Edgewing' — BAE, Leonardo, MHI (JAIEC) 33.3% each

Value-chain ripple (2 tiers)

Following node-to-node links up to 2 tiers; each firm is shown once, at its nearest tier.

CompanyChain'21'22'23'24'25YTD
Viasatlead2+36.4-28.9-11.7-69.6+304.9+118.6
FedExlead2+0.7-31.6+49.1+13.5+5.1+39.6
United Parcel Service, Inc.lead2+30-16.2-6-15.9-15.9+8
SES S.A.lead2+2.8+10.6-13-36+141.5-28.2
Boeinglead1-6-5.4+36.8-32.1+22.7-2.2
Mitsubishi Heavy Industriesnode+7.2+68.3+100.5+134.2+98.3-16.7
Toray Industriesbenef1+8.3+12.5-4.8+49.2+7.5+10.3

YTD as of 2026-09-04 · source: Yahoo Finance

Mitsubishi Heavy Industries operates across Nikkei 225, Heavy industry, ¥13T gas-turbine & defense backlog. After +98.3% in 2025, it corrected -16.7% in 2026. The supply side (avg +10.3%) has moved harder than the stock (-16.7%). That is the classic bottleneck pattern: supplier volume leverage is being priced before this layer's own margin. Among connected nodes the furthest ahead is Toray Industries (+10.3%) and the furthest behind is Boeing (-2.2%). If chain logic explains the gap, the laggard is the next propagation candidate; if not, the link itself deserves a second look. In the value chain it builds the Boeing 787 wing from Toray T800 carbon fiber and, via a 33.3% stake in the GCAP JV Edgewing, is positioned in next-generation defense.

Analysis generated from returns as of 2026-09-04

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