Nikkei 225 · Precision motors · Humanoid actuators

Nidec

The world's largest precision-motor maker, holding the 'motor + reducer = actuator' axis of the humanoid/robot component chain. It targets robot motion control with high-torque, compact actuators that pair motors with FLEXWAVE strain-wave gearheads, and early humanoid-OEM supply to Tesla Optimus and UBTech is its new growth option. But the body of current earnings is EV traction motors, appliances and datacenter cooling fans — so until humanoids reach volume production, the EV/appliance demand cycle drives the valuation. That said, its FY ended March 2026 annual results are delayed by an accounting-misconduct probe (a third-party committee formed September 2025) with multi-year restatements back to FY2022 (~JPY 160.7bn net-asset impact), so figures here are on the corrected FY2025 finals and restoring financial-reporting credibility is a prerequisite risk.

6594.T Updated Jul 12, 2026 3 AI consumers· 1 recurring

Per the valuechain.wiki graph, Nidec is directly linked to 2 companies (0 supply, 2 revenue relationships) and reaches 3 companies within two hops; the links are backed by 6 dated sources, 2 of them primary filings (as of 2026-07-12).

Annual return · 2026-07-10'21-26.8%'22-28.4%'23-21.9%'24-1.7%'25-17.4%YTD+20.6%
Money inHumanoid · robot OEMs (motors · actuators)TeslaEV · home appliances · data centers (motors)UBTech Robotics
NidecFY2025
Money outreducers · components (undisclosed)Magnets · materials · manufacturing (undisclosed)

Financials & Segments

  • Total revenue · FY2025 (ended Mar 2025, IFRS) revenue ¥2,607.8bn (+11.1%, record) and operating profit ¥238.1bn (+47.1%)
  • Customer concentration · Precision motor + reducer = actuator axis (humanoid growth option); the body of earnings is Appliance/Industrial, EV and precision motors.
  • Segments · Appliance, Commercial & Industrial · Automotive (EV traction) · Small Precision Motors · Machinery · Electronic & Optical Components

Revenue from

  • Humanoid · robot OEMs (motors · actuators) High confidence
    Motors, actuators and FLEXWAVE gearheads to humanoid and robot OEMs.
    Confirms EN Robot Report Published Jan 1, 2026: Nidec FLEXWAVE gearheads for humanoids
    Confirms JA Nidec/TSE Published Apr 25, 2025: Nidec company/IR (TSE 6594)
  • Tesla Medium confidence
    Supplies motors and actuators to Tesla's Optimus humanoid — the Optimus volume roadmap is the key trigger for new demand.
    Confirms EN eWeek Published Jan 1, 2026: Tesla Optimus 1M-unit, Gen 3 roadmap
  • EV · home appliances · data centers (motors) Medium confidence
    EV traction motors, appliances and datacenter cooling fans.
    Confirms JA Nidec/TSE Published Apr 25, 2025: Nidec company/IR (TSE 6594)
  • UBTech Robotics Medium confidence
    Supplies motors/actuators to UBTech humanoids (per Morgan Stanley's value-chain map) — the second axis of humanoid-OEM diversification.
    Confirms EN Morgan Stanley Published Jan 1, 2025: Mapping the humanoid robot value chain

Pays to

  • reducers · components (undisclosed) Low confidence
    Reducers and parts for actuators.
    Confirms EN Robot Report Published Jan 1, 2026: Nidec FLEXWAVE gearheads for humanoids
  • Magnets · materials · manufacturing (undisclosed) Low confidence
    Permanent magnets, copper, materials and manufacturing.
    Confirms JA Nidec/TSE Published Apr 25, 2025: Nidec company/IR (TSE 6594)

Investments

  • Growth investment (EV E-Axle capacity, machinery M&A, portfolio transformation) Medium confidence· Amount 314.6 JPY_bn · FY2025 · Machinery segment revenue (M&A-built machine tools/robots)
    Nidec's capital allocation centers on M&A and EV-traction capacity — Automotive invests in EV traction-motor (E-Axle) systems while pruning unprofitable models in a portfolio transformation, and Machinery is a segment built up through acquisitions of machine-tool and industrial-robot businesses. In FY2025 it consolidated subsidiaries and restructured toward higher-margin businesses. (Recorded as a basket since the individual targets are multiple/undisclosed.)
    Mentions EN Investing.com Published Apr 27, 2026: Nidec delays results amid accounting-irregularity probe; multi-year restatements
    Confirms JA Nidec (TDnet corrected results) Published Sep 26, 2025: Nidec FY ended Mar 2025 results (IFRS, corrected)

Value-chain ripple (2 tiers)

Following node-to-node links up to 2 tiers; each firm is shown once, at its nearest tier.

CompanyChain'21'22'23'24'25YTD
Foxconn (Hon Hai)lead2-5.1+2.8+7.8+80.1+26.9+10.9
Teslalead1+49.8-65+101.7+62.5+11.4-9.3
UBTech Roboticslead1···-21.6+95.4-39.2
Nidecnode-26.8-28.4-21.9-1.7-17.4+20.6

YTD as of 2026-07-10 · source: Yahoo Finance

The world's No.1 precision-motor maker holding the motor axis of the humanoid component chain, with the actuator that bundles a motor and a FLEXWAVE reducer at the heart of its growth story. But the body of current revenue is EV traction motors, appliances and datacenter cooling fans, so humanoids remain an option riding on the Tesla Optimus and UBTech ramps. Risks are price competition in EV motors and weakness on the demand side (robot OEMs), while vertical integration of magnets, copper and manufacturing defends costs. Downstream on the graph sit humanoid OEMs like Tesla and UBTech, whose volume-production roadmaps are the trigger that propagates demand into this node. The top downside risk is accounting: the FY2026 annual results are delayed by a misconduct probe with restatements back to FY2022 (figures here are on the corrected FY2025), so restoring financial-statement credibility and a clean audit opinion must be resolved before the growth narrative.

Analysis generated from returns as of 2026-07-10

Analyst ratings

Consensus: Buy 1 · Hold 1 · Sell 1 · Avg. target ¥2,267 · Price ¥2,660 (07-10) · Upside -15%

BrokerRatingTargetPublished
MacquarieNeutral¥2,200Mar 24, 2026Report
UBS SecuritiesBuy¥2,800Jan 16, 2026Report
JPMorganUnderweight¥1,800Dec 5, 2025Report

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